Portable Nuclear Reactors

by Marc 30. August 2008 07:14

Here's something pretty cool I saw in New scientist. Here's a 4 year old link, but the idea seems to have resurfaced recently. Basically create a self contained, tamper proof reactor that will fit on a large pallette. Plug in a generator and presto - power on tap. They're talking about low maintenance units that can be transported around the world safely, are cheap enough for developing countries to buy and come with enough fuel sealed in for 30 years of operation.

I'm a fan of nuclear power. Which doesn't automatically make me an "enemy" of green power, before anybody gets on their high horse. Renewables are great when you have the raw material - i.e abundant sunlight, a nice handy coastline etc. And I'm sure in time the technology will get better, to the point where it's actually practical to power a country with a few acres of wind farm / solar panels. Right now though, in the short to medium term I don't see a better alternative than nuclear power so if we can make it cheap and safe that has to be good, right?

The reactor designs they're talking about for these things are not Chernobyl - that happend over 20 years ago and we have made some progress since then! The modern designs (so I read) create less - and less dangerous - waste than their predecessors and incoporate many safety features to help prevent the china syndrome.

Conceptually I like it. Whether it'll ever get off the ground politically is a whole other question - do we want to be handing over a large chunk of nuclear material to people who we don't trust? I can see it being used to provide power for remote installations of "friendly" nations, but I can't really see the US selling Iran a nuclear-power-station-in-a-box!

Try these links for a taster of things to come:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SSTAR

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toshiba_4S

 

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Predictions

Internet Cafe's

by Marc 26. August 2008 06:44

So here's a blast from the past. Walking down Oxford street I remember seeing an "EasyInternet" opening up. Regardless of the pricing model (Stelios has some some interesting ways of doing things) I was pretty adament that it wasn't going to fly. "Home internet is so cheap, who'd bother?" I asked myself.

A couple of months later I was walking past the same shop to see them queuing outside the door.  And several years later the concept of the "Internet cafe" is well established - in fact I've used them myself to catch up on email while travelling.

Which is the reason that Stelios is a multi-millionaire and I'm not!

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Welcome to Digital Soothsayer!

by Marc 26. August 2008 05:11

We all reckon we can spot a dud idea, right? How many times have you said "That'll never fly..."? Me too. The thing is, I have it in my head that I'm pretty good at spotting the good and bad ideas, but I don't really have any way of tracking them. For all I know I could be a one man Gartner group... or I could be as bad as all these guys put together. I just don't know.

Until now. So here is is - My very own predictive corner of the net. A permanent (and public) record of my technological insights. Then in a few years I can go back and have a good chuckle at some of the more obvious mistakes.

I'll seed it with some ideas I had from the past. Now I come to think of it, the ones I can remember turned out to be wrong - not the best start I could have hoped for!

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News

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What's this site all about?

As the first post on the site says, really this is a place for me to record predictions or comments on news I see. They're mostly going to be technology related since that's the world I move in but if anything else strikes me I'll drop it in for good measure.

So who am I? Well I'm not a Futurologist (yet!). Just a working software developer with an interest in the world around me. 

If you want to get in contact, the name is Marc Evans - soothsayer [at] sugarmonster.net